A better model of accountability

The last of my reports from the NSBA conference:

At his session on "Change and Stability" Douglas Reeves discussed the challenges of systemic change in large, complex organizations, as well as the implications of some recent research.

Reeves suggested that any organization considering a significant change should first complete an "initiative audit". His "Rule of 6" refers to "Initiative Fatigue" and the natural limit to the number of new initiatives that an organization can successfully manage at any one time. He stressed the importance of making clear to all stakeholders, at the outset, those things that will not change.

Reeves defines "teacher leadership" not by positions or titles, but as "the act of influencing the classroom practices of professional educators." His 2008 research indicated that the single greatest influence on professional practice is “advice from colleagues”, which far outweighs the impact of graduate courses or professional journal articles.

This suggests that one key to successful change is to provide opportunities for teachers to observe models of best practice, as demonstrated by these “teacher leaders”.  A number of schools accomplish this by digitally capturing examples of mini-lessons and effective teacher collaborations which are then posted on the web or shared via DVD. It turns out, that the most confident teachers are generally willing to share their mistakes as well as their successes  He also discussed the importance of creating a safe environment for teachers to "critically review and rehearse successful practices."

He encouraged schools to develop a culture of "hypotheses testing". Rather than beginning from an assumption of "this will never work" or "teachers will never buy in to it", Reeves argues for a culture of curiosity and accountability: let's test promising ideas and see if they actually work. He says that far too often, educators live in the culture of the untested hypothesis - such as: "if students performed poorly on a test, we need to drill them harder" – without subjecting the hypothesis to examination. 

Reeves suggested that not only should we have broader, more meaningful measures of student competency, we should also measure the "antecedents of learning"; that is, we should monitor the factors that we know contribute to a positive educational environment. (This is consistent with current work being done in the development of national school climate standards.) Said another way, we should be monitoring and measuring what the adults in the school community are doing, as well as the students.

A legitimate criticism of the accountability movement is that it defines accountability far too narrowly. If the only measures by which schools are held accountable are standardized 11th-grade math and reading scores, then that's where the instructional focus will tend to be.

A couple of his other research results:

  •  The number of extracurricular activities in which a student is involved (up to four, where the impact begins to level off) is predictive of a student’s GPA.
  •  The amount of non-fiction writing done by students is predictive of achievement in all subject areas.

Contempt for open records and meetings and public referendum

Accountability is a great topic for Mr. Hutchinson since the total money stolen from the public by Mr. Hutchinson and his old cronies is today nearing $11 million and rising.  Below is a transcript of a statement read by a citizen at Monday's SCASD board meeting.  They didn't listen to the public concerns about the high school plan and it cost us $5 million.  We at least have a set of crappy plans for a school that will never be built for that money.  That is nothing compared to this.

September 14, 2009 by Don Gordon.

I want to make a statement about the Qualified Interest Rate Management Agreement (QIRMA) initiated in  2006.  You call it a fixed interest rate swap. In my opinion. It’s a $58 million contract involving bond rate hedging and derivatives, it’s gambling with taxpayer money.  

The April 2009 SCASD Financial Update shows a cost of $8.4 million to terminate that contract. Unofficially the cost may be lower today $6M, higher tomorrow $12M.  Who knows? Nobody.

Here is my first concern.  We have a $58 million debt obligation but no debt. Why?  The previous school board approved a $58 million bond obligation two years prior to the Act 34 approval of the high school project. At that time the project was estimated to cost $68 million, increased to $112 million, overbid by another $17 million, then cancelled.

A debt obligation is normally cancelled when a project is cancelled.  So why wasn’t the debt cancelled at that time when the termination fee would have been very low?  That’s a rhetorical question. We all [board members] know the answer.

Because, also in 2006, Pennsylvania passed the Taxpayers Relief Act, called Act 1,  which imposed a requirement for public referendum on large budget increases.   Because the $58 million was obligated before Act 1 it could be spent without referendum.  The board tried to carry the $58 million forward to evade referendum. I think that action is contempt of taxpayers.

About 111 School districts got involved with over 400 swaps and about a third of them are terminated. I can’t find another QIRMA involving carry forward financing. Swaps are not intended for carry forward financing. [See: Pennsylvania Department of Community & Economic Development, Qualified Interest Rate Management Agreements – DEG can provide a copy]

Here is my second concern. Where did the idea originate that a school district should get involved with hedges, derivatives, and swaps. Competitive bids were not sought. Second opinion was not sought.  The rates were derived (hence a derivative) from a ten currency arbitrage index called the London Inter-Bank Offer Rate (LIBOR) rather than a traditional bond index. Arbitrage is the highest kind of investment risk. It’s a  bet on future currency markets. It was international financing involving a London arbitrage index and the largest bank in Canada versus a school district. Risk exceeded knowledge.   The district’s risk mitigation plan required by the state would receive a D – at any business school.      

Who planted this seed?   I can trace the introduction of this idea to January 2006  and the former business manager and Lou Verdelli of Public Financial Management,  your financial consultant.  By the way after Verdelli sold you the hedge he went to work for the Royal Bank of Canada.  Remember Richard Wood of Rhoads and Sinon your legal consultants, he’s involved too and all of them pass through the Pennsylvania Association of School Business Officials acting as a focal point. Gov Rendell refers to swaps as fleecing school districts.

Pennsylvania law requires these consultants to be totally independent.  Yet the board  agreed to have the Bank of Canada pay them and the district solicitor’s firm, directly or indirectly $233,000 (total) (1/4 $ million) in fees. To me that’s a conflict of interest.

Where was the due diligence? Did your legal advisors report that the Bank of Canada paid a $1.5 million SEC fine for deception and has two federal court cases pending for similar allegations?  

Here is my third concern: In 2006 the school board closed Citizen Advisory Committee for Finance  meetings to the public. The board president, Susan Werner, opined at the time that CAC  meetings were too complex for average citizens to understand.  Apparently too complex for the board too. Independent notes of working sessions show some CAC members questioned the use of public funds for such high risk nitwittery.  Unfortunately, consensus triumphed critical thinking, the CAC recommended the hedge.  The district’s own charts show the index was almost never favorable to the school district.  

The index went the wrong way. The dollar lost 40 percent. The arbitrage index tanked 62.5 percent. The district is upside down. We have to pay big to get out.

Even the district’s financial advisors suggested terminating the swap in July  2007, at a loss of $300,000. Were you aware that the termination fee increased 290 percent in only 30 days during that period [June 29 to July 31, 2007]?   Didn’t that set off loud alarm bells?    By October 2007, the loss was $2 million.  But the same board refused, insisting on a zero loss. By April 2009, the termination fee increased to $8.4 million.  This particular arbitrage index is about devaluation of the dollar caused by growing national debt. Don’t expect a zero loss. I do understand that the largest effect on the swap termination fee is long term municipal bond rates, but don’t dismiss the arbitrage index.

Hedge financing for local government was prohibited, rightfully so in Pennsylvania until 2003 because of high risk.

The current board is left with a giant lose-lose mess.   Any choice will cost the district’s taxpayers and not one dollar of it will go to education.

All of this because of contempt for open records and meetings and public referendum. The lesson will be very expensive. Hopefully your priority will be to terminate the swap at the lowest cost and not to extend the swap in order to evade public referendum.

Given this track record, I strongly recommend that you hire a truly independent hedge expert, for a second opinion,  to guide you through your hard choices ahead.  Use the district’s public relations department to do something useful and explain all this in plain English using classical mathematics to the public who will pay this bill.

International Arbitrage and Bond Rate Hedging Derivitives????

Ouch, this is really going to hurt!  And I thought Hutchinson said he was good at math! 

But on a truly serious note, our schoold district could really use that $8 MM (or is it $12 MM by now?).  This does call for an investigation. 

Investigatory Cliff Notes please

What's the executive summary?

Somebody (who?) invested school money?/bought debt insurance? (what?), and when the market crashed somebody (who?) didn't do due diligence and money was lost? (how much exactly?)

I had no idea hutch was a financial guy.

So somebody was messing with hedge funds and risky investments - who was that specifically, does anybody know?

Who's Don Gordon again? How did he gather these names numbers and charges? And who else is investigating this?

I'm all for investigations - just as a general principle. Constant transparent investigations is part of my model for government. Assume they are going to be corrupted by power, and help them by making multiple systems for investigation a basic part of government.

An opportunity for VOICES

I don't usually agree with your politics but do believe you have a genunine interest in exposing some of the crap inherent in the political process.

Read here:  http://www.scasd.org/2497_7587161156/lib/2497_7587161156/JohnFreyMeeting_4-27-09_final.pdf

Page 7 of this document shows that the cost of terminating the swap was $8.4 million on 4/24/2009, just as Mr. Gordon, a regular citizen and obviously a very thoughtful person, stated when he addressed the school board.  Basically it comes down to this.  The old board under the direction of former PA School Board Association President Lou Ann Evans quickly "borrowed" money to beat the pending legislation giving taxpayers say in school district budgets.  When the high school project dumped, they didn't return the bonds as most districts do if a project goes down the tubes - they figured they would keep the money since they got it without asking the public.  They used suspect sources for that money and gambled with the rates.  All of this was done because that particular group of officials, including Hutchinson, didn't trust that the public would support their dumb decisions.  They were right.  

Don’t you wonder why the “traditional” press (the CDT) isn’t reporting the single worst financial mess up in SCASD history?  

I'm With You Bill....

Left of Centre http://thorsteinveblen.blogspot.com

....I think an independent investigation is called for, but I'm unwilling to jump to the conclusion that the old board did anything wrong or for that matter that any wrong doing occurred at all.. From what I can tell from the pdf linked to below, the old board entered a hedge of some sort on debt it incurred to construct the new high school. The cost of getting out the hedge depends on the bond market conditions when board exits the hedge. In April, getting out would have cost the board the $8.4 million. However, if long-term swap rates increase this number would move toward zero. It should also be noted that terminating the swap is only one of several possible action spelled out in the pdf. Further, it should be noted that the new board hasn't acted on this in nearly two years since they've taken over. Any investigation should deal with the question of why they haven't taken any action. So yes investigate, but keep in mind that the SHV people have been deeply dishonest in the past and there may be no blame to be placed or if there is blame to be assigned a large portion of it may belong on their allies on the new board. sctaxpayer, are you down with that? Look at both the new and old boards actions. I'll wait while you ask Patty K. what you're supposed to think.

An addendum to my previous comment...

Left of Centre http://thorsteinveblen.blogspot.com

When the new board took office in January of 2008, the long-term swap rate stood at about 3.25%. In April of 2009, it stood at 2.25%. This info is in the pdf. Had the new board acted immediately to terminate the swap, the loss would have been less than the $8.4 million reported here. Why didn't the new board act quickly?

A momentary lapse?

Veblen,  you usually pride yourself on doing your homework and your ability to hotlink references, perhaps something Dr. Spanier said over the weekend is distracting you?   Do your research.  This has nothing to do with State High Vision other than the fact that they exposed the old board for poor decision making and fiscal irresponsibility with our tax dollars.  The new board inherited this swap and by January 2008 when they would have first been able to do anything about it, the district was already in the hole for millions.  The question is why the old board didn't terminate the swap when they dumped the stupid high school plan?  When it first came up in the Summer of 2007, the loss would have been at around $300,000 (according to the district's records).  Instead, they held on to it with the notion that they had the money for "free" (without having to put it to a public referendum).  Isn't it interesting that the district's business manager left soon after?

Your very own Tax and Spend Governor Rendell said that these swaps were trouble for school districts.  Mr. Gordon is asking the right questions.

Let the Chips Fall Where They May

Left of Centre http://thorsteinveblen.blogspot.com

This is from Don Gordon's missive.
Even the district’s financial advisors suggested terminating the swap in July 2007, at a loss of $300,000. Were you aware that the termination fee increased 290 percent in only 30 days during that period [June 29 to July 31, 2007]? Didn’t that set off loud alarm bells? By October 2007, the loss was $2 million. But the same board refused, insisting on a zero loss. By April 2009, the termination fee increased to $8.4 million.
First off, the swap rate peaked in July of 2007. So yes, had the old board been prescient they might of terminated at that time. Don Gordon presumes the answer to the question of why they didn't terminate at exactly that time when they could have minimized their loses. I think it is worth asking why they didn't terminate after the project was canned. And the rate did continue to slide through October into the first part of 2008, but it rebounded in the Spring/Summer of 2008 to roughly (I'm reading off a graph which doesn't allow too much precision.) the rate it had been in the Fall of 2007. It then plunged again after the Spring/Summer of 2008 without rebounding to the level of Spring/Summer of 2008. Don Gordon left that information out. The new board missed an opportunity in Spring/Summer of 2008 to terminate the swap for roughly the same amount that it could have been terminated for in the Fall of 2007, $2 million. Why didn't the new board terminate some time in the summer of 2008 after the rebound? Is their motivation the same as the old board's motivation? Or is something else going on? Let's have answers to these questions. Now it is worth remembering that these loses only apply if the swap is terminated. If any bonds are issued then no loses occur on the swaps. So nothing has been lost yet. A final question, why is this information coming out only now as an election approaches? I think a full investigation is warranted and no one should be spared embarrassment.

Why didn't the CDT report on this?

And will Voices investigate? 

I'm no financial wiz, so can somebody explain to me

I'm no financial wiz, so can somebody explain to me exactly what it is that was bought, and who bought them?

Bonds? "Swaps" (like credit default swaps?), insurance, guarantees? I must have a mental block, I can't model in my head just what we are talking about.

And who signed the purchase order? Who's the finance guy here? Who made what decision?

I'm still trying to digest this story and get a summary of the suggested offense and offenders.

Isn't every institution in the country moaning and bitching over money lost in the crash? What makes this different from their complaints?

OMG

Oh my god, that may be the most horrifyingly obtuse collection of intentionally impenetrable technobabble that I have ever read.

One uniting theme seems to be "an agreement to make a series of payments". So, what are the amounts of the payments, and how much has been paid, and how much will have to be paid to keep the agreements?

There's gotta be like a finance company that's managing this for the school district - who is that again? Who was the advisor that got the interest rate swap agreements going, and was/is presumably in charge of managing their risk?

Did the school board have like a big vote thing, in the records, in which they discussed how cool interest rate swaps were, and then voted to get them?

And who can explain what went wrong - cuz they musta thought it was a great idea at some point, right?

How could we draw a chart of this affair? That might be amusing.

Wouldn't know a good idea if it hit them in the a....

"cuz they musta thought it was a great idea at some point, right?"  (WRONG)

That is the problem Bill - number one, some of them were not looking out for this community to begin with - but rather for their own agenda and the rest of the sheep in that flock didn't know any more than you do about this.  They followed along blindly because they were too lazy or stupid to learn about this on their own.  Some of those folks would have agreed to buying the moon for as little as some praise and a party invitation.

The CDT Won't Touch This One

Our illustrious local newspaper will never look into this matter.  The editor is far too close with the old board members and the rest of the Borough elite.  Plus, the issue is a complex one and their current staff probably isn’t up to the task.  It’s much easier to focus on PSU football and award winning minestrone recipes. 

I’m hoping the current school board will self-report and establish a truly independent board of inquiry. 

 

I expect the CDT feels much like I do

I'm usually pretty good at extracting information and understanding a situation.

But with the information at hand, I can't tell if I'm looking at negligence, or just another result of the bush economic collapse. I expect the CDT feels much like I do.

Which is why I keep thinking the thing to do is identify the people responsible for the "investing" or financial bet-placing or whatever this is, and see if they have an explanation that isn't gobbledegook, and that makes sense.

Obviously you enemies of the old board have a vested interest in pushing scandal, so what you say has to be judged with that bias in mind.

This whole thing could be basic republican black-ops, right out of the republican strategy 101 manual. We would have to be fools not to be aware of that.

But, my gut instant is to distrust ANYONE that plays derivative games with public money. That's my bias - this stinks of wall street and banker thievery.

So, for me, the big question remains - WHO was responsible for the financial management of these derivatives? That's the only person who can answer the question, was this negligence, or a sad result of the collapse? That's the person who should be interviewed.

I hope the new board does set up an investigation. I love investigations!

Was Someone Channeling Ken Lay?

So who's the bad guys and who's the sheep in this story?

Well, Desi, that's a lot of political hyperbole, but I'll extract the gist of your storyline, which is that there were some bad guys who were out to schnooker the taxpayers, and there were some sheep.

So, who are the bad guys, and who are the sheep?

Now, in the middle of the bush era, everybody seemed to think there was tons of free money, and all the rich folks seemed to be chuckling with glee at the idea that you could borrow money for nothing, and BUILD BUILD BUILD, and then borrow more money because what you had built was magically worth even more than it was worth when you started to build it. I know tons of people who borrowed money, and they seemed to think they were REALLY SMART to do it. And you know, a lot of them made out like bandits with it, because they did it early.

I can't know what was in the old boards mind, but I'm not sure I'm willing to buy the idea that there were these "bad guys who wanted to steal taxpayer money", when the whole mindset of that era was "FREE MONEY - borrow it almost for nothing and use it to improve your lives". (Not that simple wide-eyed naivete and a fat dash of greed doesn't mean that era's board shouldn't be replaced.)

However, I'm willing to listen to a story of bad guys and sheep.

But it's gotta be a real story. Hyperbole by itself triggers all my agenda warnings.

Delusions of Success

Bill,

For once, I actually agree with Veblen, a full investigation is warranted and no one should be spared embarrassment.

I doubt that such an exercise would turn up “theft” of taxpayer money, but rather a healthy dose of gross mismanagement.  The old board suffered from severe “Delusions of Success” whereby they would set themselves up for failure by exaggerating benefits and routinely underestimating risks and cost.  This certainly was the case in their high school project where they thought they were qualified to deal directly with contract architects and construction companies with disastrous results.

I imagine the same is true here only now it’s the financial consultants selling them on the need for hedges, derivatives, swaps and currency arbitrage.  This is yet another sad example of the old board not recognizing their tendency to exaggerate their own talent and to believe they are above average in their endowment of positive traits and abilities. 

So it appears that they engaged in some questionable financial practices which has produced some very large financial liabilities for our school district.  The questions I would like to see answered are:

1.    Why didn’t they terminate the swap immediately?

2.    Why didn’t the return the bonds when the high school project was cancelled?

We need to learn from this debacle so it is not repeated in future.   We also need to ensure greater transparency in all financial dealings.

Don’t you mean “Delusions of Adequacy”?

Hutch and his colleagues are out of their depth in a puddle of water.  Somewhere he's depriving a perfectly good village of its idiot.

 

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